Your weather opportunities, delivered to Telegram.
We monitor Polymarket maximum-temperature markets for you and surface opportunities around the clock. You have all the information you need to make your own decisions.
One plan, all 48 cities · no card required
Confidence: High · Medium · Low
Refreshed every hour — when the market moves, we re-price for you.
On Polymarket, tomorrow's temperature isn't a lottery.
It's statistics — and we compute it for you, with 14 weather models across the Polymarket maximum-temperature markets.
Three steps, zero screen-watching
We monitor
the Polymarket maximum-temperature markets, around the clock.
14 models compute
the real probability (ECMWF, GFS, ICON, JMA…), bias-corrected.
You get your opportunities
on Telegram, refreshed every hour. You decide.
Science, not sentiment
What's in play right now
Our best-tracked cities. The monthly plan unlocks all of them.
About Polymarket Temperature Predictions
DEMFI provides independent probability forecasts for Polymarket's daily maximum temperature prediction markets. Our calculations leverage 12 numerical weather prediction (NWP) models from leading meteorological agencies worldwide — including ECMWF (Europe), GFS (USA), ICON (Germany), JMA (Japan), BOM (Australia), and more. Each city's forecast is computed from real-time ensemble data, giving you a science-based edge on climate prediction markets.
What a subscription unlocks
| Free | Subscriber | |
|---|---|---|
| See raw forecasts (V0) | — | ✓ |
| Browse all 48 cities | ✓ | ✓ |
| Automatic Telegram Edge NO alerts (every hour) | — | ✓ |
| Bias-corrected forecasts (V1 Markov) | — | ✓ |
| Confidence levels + verification page | — | ✓ |
| Portfolio (Edge NO position) | — | ✓ |
Pay in USDC or $DEMFI · no card · cancel anytime
Connect your wallet. Check the track record. Then decide.
One monthly plan covers every city. No card. You decide if it's worth it.